Will Elon Musk's acquisition of Twitter become official by June 16, 2022?

Started May 24, 2022 07:36PM UTC
Closed Jun 17, 2022 04:00AM UTC

Context

On April 14, 2022, Tesla CEO, Elon Musk, offered to purchase social media company Twitter for $43 billion, after previously acquiring 9.1% of the company's stock for $2.64 billion, becoming its largest shareholder. The acquisition is not yet complete, on May 13 Musk said in a tweet that the deal is "temporarily on hold pending details supporting calculation that spam/fake accounts do indeed represent less than 5% of users." 

Resolution Criteria

This question resolves positively if at least 2 major news sources report that Elon Musk has officially acquired Twitter by June 16.

The acquisition will become official if Twitter stockholders have approved the purchase and the applicable regulatory approvals are in place.

Further Reading

Elon Musk and Twitter Reach Deal for Sale

Elon Musk says his deal to buy Twitter is on hold

Resolution Notes

Elon Musk's acquisition of Twitter was not officially completed on or before June 16, 2022.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 1.40%
No 98.60%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 14
Average for questions older than 6 months: 20
Number of Forecasts 18
Average for questions older than 6 months: 48
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.0103
2.
-0.0085
3.
-0.006529
4.
-0.002014
5.
-0.0014

Consensus Trend

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