Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 U.S. presidential election?
Started
Sep 26, 2023 07:29PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2024 04:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2024 04:00PM UTC
Context
As the U.S. holds presidential elections in 2024, various candidates are vying for the Republican party’s nomination. Recent polling indicates that Donald Trump is far ahead of his Republican rivals with a 41-point lead over Ron DeSantis. However, there is much uncertainty swirling around a frontrunner with 91 felony indictment charges pending.
Stakeholders across the U.S. and Europe want to know which of these candidates will be facing President Biden next November. The outcome of the Republican primary race will dictate how experts and policymakers around the globe prepare for the upcoming election year.
Resolution Criteria
This question will resolve when major news sources announce the 2024 presidential nominee selected by the Republican Party.
Further Reading
Resolution Notes
Donald Trump is the Republican nominee for president in the 2024 election.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Donald Trump | 86% | |
Ron DeSantis | 4% | |
Mike Pence | 0% | |
Vivek Ramaswamy | 1% | |
Nikki Haley | 7% | |
Tim Scott | 0% | |
Chris Christie | 1% | |
Other | 1% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 90 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 20 | |
Number of Forecasts | 221 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 48 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |