What percentage of Germans will have a favorable opinion of the U.S. in 2024? - 2024
Started
Sep 26, 2023 07:30PM UTC
Closed Jun 11, 2024 09:30PM UTC
Closed Jun 11, 2024 09:30PM UTC
Seasons
Context
Germans’ opinion of the U.S. has fluctuated over the years but was historically low between 2017 and 2020 during President Donald Trump’s time in office. The percentage of Germans who had a favorable opinion of the U.S. dropped from 57% in 2016 to 26% in 2020, according to surveys conducted by Pew Research. In 2022, that number had increased to 63% and dropped slightly to 57% in 2023. Looking forward to an election year in the U.S. in 2024, will more or less Germans have a favorable opinion of the U.S.?
Resolution Criteria
This question will be resolved by comparing 2023 and 2024 polling data from Pew Research about countries' opinion of the U.S.
Further Reading
This question is a resolved time period from What percentage of Germans will have a favorable opinion of the U.S. in 2024?
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 10 | 1% | |
| More than or equal to 10 but less than 20 | 2% | |
| More than or equal to 20 but less than 25 | 2% | |
| More than or equal to 25 but less than 30 | 3% | |
| More than or equal to 30 but less than 35 | 6% | |
| More than or equal to 35 but less than 40 | 10% | |
| More than or equal to 40 but less than 45 | 10% | |
| More than or equal to 45 but less than 50 | 14% | |
| More than or equal to 50 but less than 55 | 17% | |
| More than or equal to 55 but less than 60 | 15% | |
| More than or equal to 60 but less than 65 | 9% | |
| More than or equal to 65 but less than 70 | 5% | |
| More than or equal to 70 but less than 75 | 2% | |
| More than or equal to 75 but less than 80 | 2% | |
| More than or equal to 80 but less than 90 | 1% | |
| More than or equal to 90 | 1% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 25 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 20 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 71 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 48 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
