What will President Biden's approval rating be as of October 31?
Started
Oct 01, 2023 02:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 31, 2023 04:00AM UTC
Closed Oct 31, 2023 04:00AM UTC
Challenges
Seasons
Context:
After beginning his term with approval ratings in the low 50s, President Biden's numbers began to decline in the summer of 2021 and are now in a similar range to where President Trump's were for much of his time in office.
Resolution Criteria:
The question will be resolved via FiveThirtyEight's weighted average of approval polls.
Further Reading:
How FiveThirtyEight tracks presidential approval ratesResolution Notes
President Biden's approval rating was 40.1% on October 31, 2023, according to FiveThirtyEight's weighted average of approval polls.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 39 | 8% | |
| More than or equal to 39 but less than 40 | 33% | |
| More than or equal to 40 but less than 41 | 35% | |
| More than or equal to 41 but less than 42 | 12% | |
| More than or equal to 42 but less than 43 | 5% | |
| More than or equal to 43 | 6% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 16 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 20 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 48 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 48 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
