Will the EU and/or the U.S. impose economic sanctions against China for circumventing economic sanctions against Russia before June 1, 2023?

Started May 25, 2022 01:53PM UTC
Closed Jun 01, 2023 03:59AM UTC

Context
Since Russia's invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022, the EU and U.S. have imposed a series of wide ranging economic sanctions against Russia. If countries that are politically aligned with Russia actively try to circumvent these sanctions the US and the EU might decide to impose a set of secondary, extra-territorial sanctions against these countries similar to the policy the US employed in the case of its Iran sanctions regime.



Resolution Criteria
This question will be resolved via official EU or U.S. government declarations of economic sanctions against China for violations of sanctions on Russia.



Further Reading:


Resolution Notes

Neither the EU nor the U.S. have imposed economic sanctions against China for circumventing economic sanctions against Russia as of June 1, 2023

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 17.26%
No 82.74%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 49
Average for questions older than 6 months: 20
Number of Forecasts 120
Average for questions older than 6 months: 48
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.049395
2.
-0.04405
3.
-0.042559
4.
-0.03791
5.
-0.030411

Consensus Trend

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