Context
July 2024 was one of the most turbulent months in modern American presidential history. On July 13th, former President Donald Trump survived an assassination attempt at a rally in Butler, Pennsylvania. Just days later, Trump took the stage at the Republican National Convention to accept his party's nomination for President, alongisde his new running mate Senator JD Vance from Ohio. By the conclusion of the convention, the Trump-Vance ticket was leading in national polls and in most swing states. The following week, the Democrats would turn the election on its head. On July 21st, President Joe Biden announced that he would not seek re-election in November after yielding to pressure from Democratic donors, party officials, and grassroots movements. 

Despite this political earthquake, the passing of the torch from Biden to his Vice President Kamala Harris was a smooth one. Harris quickly racked up endorsements from key Democratic leaders around the country and broke fundraising records in the days following her ascension to the top of the ticket. Harris subsequently acquired the necessary pledged delegates to become the presumptive nominee, which will be formalized at the Democratic National Convention in August. The Democrats have found a new momentum in this presidential race after a long stretch of dismal polling. Nearly all general election and swing state polls have the two candidates in a tight race within the margin of error. 

On November 5th, Kamala Harris will face Donald Trump to become the 47th President of the United States.