Which party will win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2024 U.S. election?
Started
Feb 27, 2024 02:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 16, 2024 05:01AM UTC
Closed Nov 16, 2024 05:01AM UTC
Context
In November 2024, U.S. citizens from all 435 congressional districts across the 50 states will go to the polls to elect representatives for the 119th Congress. Following the 2020 general election, Democrats remained in control of the House of Representatives with 222 seats but lost 13 seats from the midterms in 2018. In the 2022 midterm elections, Republicans took over control of the House with 19 districts picked up from the Democratic party.
In November 2024, U.S. citizens from all 435 congressional districts across the 50 states will go to the polls to elect representatives for the 119th Congress. Following the 2020 general election, Democrats remained in control of the House of Representatives with 222 seats but lost 13 seats from the midterms in 2018. In the 2022 midterm elections, Republicans took over control of the House with 19 districts picked up from the Democratic party.
Resolution Criteria
The question will be resolved when at least two major news outlets report which party won the most seats in the House of Representatives following the 2024 U.S. election.
The question will be resolved when at least two major news outlets report which party won the most seats in the House of Representatives following the 2024 U.S. election.
Further Reading
Resolution Notes
According to the final election results as reported in the New York Times, the Republican Party won the most seats in the U.S. House in the 2024 election.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 27% | |
| Republican Party | 72% | |
| Tie | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 21 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 20 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 62 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 47 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
