Citizens across the European Union will vote for their representative to the European Parliament (EP) on June 9th, 2024. In France, this year’s EP election has the potential to serve as the unofficial “midterm vote” on President Macron and his party (Renaissance) as France’s next presidential election will take place in 2027. Rassemblement National (RN), which is led in the French Parliament by Marine Le Pen, is poised to perform well in the EU elections based on current polling, which it can use as a rallying cry at home.

The last two European elections, in 2014 and 2019, were both successful for RN, which was previously known as National Front. In the last election, RN won 23.34% of the vote narrowly beating out Macron’s coalition, which received 22.42%.

Continued political division at home could make it difficult for Renaissance to dethrone RN, which is part of the euro-sceptic party group in the European Parliament named “Identity and Democracy”. However, the rise of other far-right parties, like “Reconquête!” which nominated the niece of Marine Le Pen, Marion Maréchal Le Pen, as its top EU-candidate, could split the vote for Rassemblement National.

This question will be resolved according to official European Parliament final results.