Will Serbia and Kosovo engage in a lethal armed conflict in the next 6 months?

Started Apr 16, 2024 06:49PM UTC
Forecast Window 6 months
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Context:
After a shootout in Kosovo between ethnic Serbian gunmen and Kosovan forces in September 2023, Serbia deployed thousands of military troops to the Kosovan border. More recently, the United States has made an effort to improve relations between the two countries, but armed conflict remains a possibility.

Resolution Criteria:
This question will resolve positively if, according to major news reporting, the militaries of Serbia and Kosovo engage in an armed conflict that results in at least one military fatality.

Further Reading:

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes 3.34% -0.04% -0.04% -4.57%
No 96.66% +0.04% +0.04% +4.57%

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