Will the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) formally dissolve by April 30, 2025?
Closing Apr 30, 2025 04:00AM UTC
Context:
On December 8, Syrian opposition forces successfully overthrew the regime of President Bashar al-Assad, bringing an end to decades of authoritarian rule. In the aftermath, a diverse array of rebel groups has worked to establish a transitional government, led by former Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) commander Ahmed al-Sharaa. While these efforts have proven largely successful thus far, the status of the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) in the new government remains uncertain.
The SDF has been a major factor in Syria’s political and security landscape since its foundation in 2015. Backed by the United States, the group has been instrumental in stabilizing large swathes of Syrian territory, primarily in the country’s northeast. Between 2015 and 2019, it demonstrated its strength by systematically destroying or driving out Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL) forces, thousands of whom remain in SDF custody. Despite these successes, the group has faced persistent attacks from Türkiye, which views it as an offshoot of the Turkish Kurdish Worker’s Party (PKK), an organization long viewed as a terrorist group by Ankara.
For much of its existence, the SDF has maintained a high degree of autonomy in Syria’s north and east, where it has acted as a de facto government. This autonomy has come into question following the establishment of the transitional government. In recent months, government officials have engaged in negotiations with SDF leadership about potentially dissolving the group and integrating it into state institutions. Though these negotiations have reportedly been productive, a final agreement on the SDF’s status has yet to emerge.
Resolution Criteria:
This question will resolve positively if a major news outlet reports that the Syrian Democratic Forces has dissolved on or before April 30, 2025.
Further Reading:
‘We are Part of Syria’: Kurdish-Led SDF Fights for Place in Post-Assad Future | Syria | The Guardian
Will Damascus-SDF Negotiations Lead to Agreement or Escalation? | Middle East Institute
It’s Time for Syria’s Kurds to Fold | Foreign Policy
Syrian Democratic Forces (Syria) | ECFR