Will President Biden issue more than 120 new Executive Orders before January 20, 2024?
Closed Jan 20, 2024 05:00AM UTC
Context
An executive order is a directive issued by the President of the United States that has the same practical effect as federal law. American presidents throughout history have used this tool to advance policy priorities that were considered to be unachievable through conventional legislative processes. While executive orders can have an impact in the short-term, they are often reversed by successive administrations from the opposing party when returning to power.
The use of executive orders used to be rare. John Adams and James Madison, for example, each issued only one during their respective stints in the White House. By contrast, President Clinton issued 364, President George W. Bush 291, President Obama 276, and President Trump 220. To date, President Biden has issued 104 executive orders despite having Democratic majorities in the House of Representatives and the Senate.
The possible return to Republican control of the the House and Senate will have a dramatic impact on President Biden's ability to advance his policy agenda in the remaining two years of his terms. Will he turn to executive orders to circumvent Congress in the months ahead?
Resolution Criteria
This question will resolve positively if President Biden issues 120 new executive orders between November 1, 2022 and January 20, 2024, according to the American Presidency Project at the University of California at Santa Barbara.
Further Reading
What is an Executive Order? - American Bar Association
Executive Orders by President - The American Presidency Project (UCSB)
Question clarification
NEW: This question requires 120 new Executive Orders to be issued between Nov. 1, 2022 and Jan. 20, 2024. As Biden issued 104 Executive Orders before this period, that would mean the total number of Executive Orders on Jan. 20, 2024 would need to be 224 or more for the question to resolve positively.
President Biden issued 26 new executive orders between Nov. 1, 2022 and Jan. 20, 2024
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 10.89% | |
No | 89.11% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 27 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 20 | |
Number of Forecasts | 161 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 48 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |