What will President Biden's approval rating be as of May 31?
Started
May 01, 2023 02:00PM UTC
Closed May 31, 2023 04:00AM UTC
Closed May 31, 2023 04:00AM UTC
Challenges
Seasons
Context:
After beginning his term with approval ratings in the low 50s, President Biden's numbers began to decline in the summer of 2021 and are now in a similar range to where President Trump's were for much of his time in office.
Resolution Criteria:
The question will be resolved via FiveThirtyEight's weighted average of approval polls.
Further Reading:
How FiveThirtyEight tracks presidential approval ratesHow might Biden's approval rating affect the midterm elections?
Resolution Notes
President Biden's approval rating was 41.2% on May 31, 2023, according to FiveThirtyEight's weighted average of approval polls.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 40% | 1% | |
| More than or equal to 40% but less than 41% | 11% | |
| More than or equal to 41% but less than 42% | 44% | |
| More than or equal to 42% but less than 43% | 29% | |
| More than or equal to 43% but less than 44% | 12% | |
| More than or equal to 44% | 4% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 17 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 20 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 44 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 48 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
