Will the Republican party control the United States House of Representatives and the Senate following the elections on November 8, 2022?
Closed Nov 09, 2022 05:00AM UTC
Context
On November 8, 2022, American voters will go to the polls to cast their ballots in the nation's mid-term elections. All 435 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives and 34 in the Senate will be decided by the electorate. Democrats currently control the House of Representatives by a margin of 221-208 (with 6 seats vacant). In the Senate, Democrats hold 48 seats and Republicans hold 50 seats. The two independent Senators caucus with the Democrats to give them control of the chamber.
Resolution Criteria
This question will resolve positively if the Republican Party is the projected winner of a majority of congressional districts and senate seats according to at least two of the following networks that make race calls: ABC News, CBS News, NBC News, CNN, Fox News, Decision Desk HQ, Associated Press, Reuters, NY Times.
If there are conflicting race calls, we will wait for the FEC to resolve this question.
Further Reading
The 2022 Midterm Congressional Elections by the Numbers
Real Clear Politics - Latest Polls
The Democrats kept control of the U.S. Senate in the 2022 midterm elections, according to the Associated Press.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.55% | |
| No | 43.45% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 45 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 20 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 90 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 48 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
