Will the BRICS countries reach a formal agreement to admit new members by December 31, 2023?

Started Aug 09, 2023 02:45PM UTC
Closed Aug 24, 2023 04:00PM UTC
Challenges
Tags
Seasons

Context

The five BRICS nations are scheduled to meet during the 15th BRICS Summit taking place in South Africa from August 22-24. Initially under the acronym BRIC, before South Africa was invited for membership in 2010, BRICS began as an optimistic term to describe the world’s emerging economies at the time. It became increasingly active in the geopolitical arena by trying to offer an alternative to the existing political forums of the West. Ahead of the upcoming BRICS Summit, the five-nation bloc could extend as 19 countries, including Saudi Arabia and Iran, issued their interest in closer cooperation and obtaining a chair at the negotiation table.


Resolution Criteria
This question will resolve positively if AP or Reuters report that the BRICS countries have reached a formal agreement to admit new members by December 31, 2023.

Further Reading
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 57.70%
No 42.30%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 12
Average for questions older than 6 months: 20
Number of Forecasts 14
Average for questions older than 6 months: 48
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.188273
2.
-0.18674
3.
-0.083
4.
-0.03494
5.
-0.004213

Consensus Trend

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username