Will any two or more BRICS nations announce by December 31 that they have agreed to create a new common currency?

Started Jun 28, 2023 06:32PM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2023 05:00AM UTC
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Context
The Russian government is leading an effort to develop a new common currency to be used for international trade by the BRICS countries as an alternative to the U.S. dollar. The creation of this new currency will be one of the main topics of discussion at the BRICS summit in August and is said to be Russia’s attempt to avoid the impact of sanctions over the war in Ukraine. Should the BRICS countries succeed in creating a new currency, it will pose a big challenge to the dollar’s dominance as other emerging economies are looking to be part of the deal, including Saudi Arabia and Iran.

Resolution Criteria
This question will resolve positively if a major news source, such as AP or Reuters, reports that two or more BRICS nations have agreed to create a new common currency by December 31, 2023. For this question to resolve, an agreement, not the new currency,  needs to be in place by December 31. An  agreement to work towards a common currency (or similar) would not be sufficient to resolve this question positively.

Further Reading
Resolution Notes

No two BRICS nations announced an agreement to create a new common currency in 2023.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 3.15%
No 96.85%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 19
Average for questions older than 6 months: 20
Number of Forecasts 59
Average for questions older than 6 months: 48
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.00183
2.
-0.00183
3.
-0.001637
4.
-0.001635
5.
-0.000849

Consensus Trend

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