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Question
Crowd Forecast
Will U.S. President Joe Biden lift restrictions on Ukraine’s ability to use long-range U.S. weapons systems to conduct strikes into Russian territory by January 19, 2025?
Closing
Jan 20, 2025 05:01AM UTC
·
4
·
4
50%
Chance
Will the winner of the presidential election also win the popular vote?
Closing
Nov 05, 2024 05:01AM UTC
·
26
·
33
78%
Chance
Will the U.S. Border Patrol report more than 1.5 million illegal migrant encounters on the southwest border by October 31, 2024?
Closing
Nov 01, 2024 04:01AM UTC
·
22
·
42
6%
Chance
Will the defeated candidate in the U.S. presidential election concede the result within seven days of the election?
Closing
Nov 12, 2024 05:01AM UTC
·
59
·
75
54%
Chance
Will Congress certify the results of the 2024 election on January 6, 2025?
Closing
Jan 06, 2025 05:01AM UTC
·
28
·
41
97%
Chance
Will African American male support for Donald Trump surpass 20% in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?
Closing
Nov 05, 2024 05:01AM UTC
·
44
·
70
49%
Chance
Will the existing German government lose a confidence vote before the scheduled 2025 federal elections?
Closing
Oct 26, 2025 04:01AM UTC
·
19
·
34
10%
Chance
Will territorial disputes between China and the Philippines escalate to a live-fire military conflict in the South China Sea by December 31, 2024?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:01AM UTC
·
14
·
26
1%
Chance
Will Russia control more than 45,000 square miles (116,000 square kilometers) of Ukraine by July 31, 2025?
Closing
Aug 01, 2025 04:01AM UTC
·
16
·
24
37%
Chance
Will the United States leave the Paris Climate Agreement by the end of 2025?
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 05:01AM UTC
·
21
·
52
45%
Chance
1
2
3
4
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