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Geopolitics

How will the latest developments in geopolitics drive the EU-US relationship?

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Will the U.S. Congress pass an economic and/or a military aid package to support Ukraine that the U.S. President then signs into law by July 19, 2025?

Closing Jul 19, 2025 04:01AM UTC · 15 · 15

9%

Chance

Will Russia control more than 45,000 square miles (116,000 square kilometers) of Ukraine by July 31, 2025?

Closing Aug 01, 2025 04:01AM UTC · 16 · 24

37%

Chance

Will an EU Common Foreign and Security Policy (CFSP) decision be reached through the process of Qualified Majority Voting (QMV) by December 31st, 2025?

Closing Dec 31, 2025 05:00AM UTC · 49 · 61

45%

Chance

Will the EU and the US agree to a carbon-based sectoral arrangement on steel and aluminum trade by the end of 2024?

Closing Dec 31, 2024 05:00AM UTC · 16 · 77

12%

Chance