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Question
Crowd Forecast
Will the U.S. Congress pass an economic and/or a military aid package to support Ukraine that the U.S. President then signs into law by July 19, 2025?
Closing
Jul 19, 2025 04:01AM UTC
·
15
·
15
9%
Chance
Will Congress certify the results of the 2024 election on January 6, 2025?
Closing
Jan 06, 2025 05:01AM UTC
·
32
·
65
99%
Chance
Will the existing German government lose a confidence vote before the scheduled 2025 federal elections?
Closing
Oct 26, 2025 04:01AM UTC
·
21
·
53
86%
Chance
Will territorial disputes between China and the Philippines escalate to a live-fire military conflict in the South China Sea by December 31, 2024?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:01AM UTC
·
15
·
33
1%
Chance
Will Russia control more than 45,000 square miles (116,000 square kilometers) of Ukraine by July 31, 2025?
Closing
Aug 01, 2025 04:01AM UTC
·
16
·
24
37%
Chance
Will the United States leave the Paris Climate Agreement by the end of 2025?
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 05:01AM UTC
·
23
·
63
77%
Chance
Will Moore's law continue in 2025?
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 05:01AM UTC
·
10
·
25
17%
Chance
Will the Baltic states decouple from the Russian power grid by Feb 28 2025?
Closing
Mar 01, 2025 05:01AM UTC
·
13
·
39
93%
Chance
Will China blockade and/or invade Taiwan in the next six months?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:01AM UTC
·
20
·
62
1%
Chance
Will the EU and UK combined boast a larger AI talent pool than China in 2024?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:01AM UTC
·
8
·
21
50%
Chance
1
2
3
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