RANGE Forecasting

Crowd Forecast

Will the U.S. Congress pass an economic and/or a military aid package to support Ukraine that the U.S. President then signs into law by July 19, 2025?

Closing Jul 19, 2025 04:01AM UTC · 15 · 15

9%

Chance

Will the existing German government lose a confidence vote before the scheduled 2025 federal elections?

Closing Oct 26, 2025 04:01AM UTC · 21 · 53

86%

Chance

Will territorial disputes between China and the Philippines escalate to a live-fire military conflict in the South China Sea by December 31, 2024?

Closing Jan 01, 2025 05:01AM UTC · 15 · 33

1%

Chance

Will Russia control more than 45,000 square miles (116,000 square kilometers) of Ukraine by July 31, 2025?

Closing Aug 01, 2025 04:01AM UTC · 16 · 24

37%

Chance

Will a non-EU country pass an AI law by December 31, 2025?

Closing Dec 31, 2025 05:00AM UTC · 16 · 52

98%

Chance

Will an EU Common Foreign and Security Policy (CFSP) decision be reached through the process of Qualified Majority Voting (QMV) by December 31st, 2025?

Closing Dec 31, 2025 05:00AM UTC · 49 · 61

45%

Chance

Will the EU and the US agree to a carbon-based sectoral arrangement on steel and aluminum trade by the end of 2024?

Closing Dec 31, 2024 05:00AM UTC · 16 · 77

12%

Chance