On March 23, newly appointed Prime Minister Mark Carney requested that Governor General Mary Simon dissolve parliament, triggering an early election to be held on April 28. 

The election comes amidst a turbulent period for Canadian politics. In January, after nearly a decade in power, former Prime Minster Justin Trudeau’s Liberals were polling near the single-digits with the Official Opposition Conservative Party, led by Pierre Poilievre, poised to win a majority government. 

In February, polls began to change dramatically as US President Trump’s aggressive tariff and takeover threats precipitated a surge in Canadian nationalism and a rally-around-the-flag effect. Combined with Trudeau’s resignation, the Liberal Party and its new leader were propelled from a distant third place back to first with a strong possibility of winning a majority government. 

While the Liberals lead in the polls midway through the election period, the polling volatility leading up to the election announcement suggests that a wide range of outcomes are still possible. A continued decline of Canada’s third largest national party, the left-wing New Democratic Party, could guarantee a victory for Carney's Liberals, while their resurgence would aid Poilievre's Conservatives by peeling votes away from the Liberals. Canadians are also just getting to know the new Liberal leader, a former governor of the Bank of Canada and Bank of England before becoming an economic advisor to Justin Trudeau’s Liberals, so opinions of him as leader may change in the final weeks of the election. 

This question will be resolved using official Elections Canada results and major media reporting, as needed.